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How Do You Calculate Home Foreclosures?

An important question is being discussed in the media lately: "When you say a home is in foreclosure, what does that mean?" Minnesota Public Radio has been exploring this question. MPR recently reported that there seems to be a discrepancy between the foreclosure data that RealtyTrac produces and reports that are released by HousingLink and the MN Home Ownership Center.

RealtyTrac has stated that foreclosures in Minnesota were up nearly 50% in 2009 while HousingLink and the MN Home Ownership Center claim that foreclosures took a slight decline in 2009, rather than a huge increase.

Where's the difference?

The discrepancies comes down to what you actually count as a "foreclosure". At HousingLink, we believe the most accurate way to calculate foreclosures is to look at sheriff's sales--the point at which a homeowner loses their home to the lender or third party real estate organization. RealtyTrac tally's up all the properties that are anywhere in the foreclosure process--from the first pre-foreclosure notice a homeowner receives to the actual sheriff's sale. Given that there are numerous ways for people to avoid a sheriff's sale along the path to foreclosure, we feel that calculating actual sheriff's sales give the most accurate picture of homes that have been foreclosed on. RealtyTrac feels otherwise.

This debate will continue into the future. What do you think? Which method of calculating foreclosures seems to make the most sense to you?

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Comments  2

  • Elissa Schloesser 11 Feb

    I believe RealtyTrac foreclosure numbers were lower in 2008 in comparison to Minnesota's locally collected numbers as well. At that time, it appeared RealtyTrac was not picking up all the rural foreclosure data. This may also have an impact on the percent change calculation. Just something to look into and consider as well. I'm not sure if this hypothesis was proven or not.
  • Jonathan L. R. Drewes 15 May

    Quoted from above: "At HousingLink, we believe the most accurate way to calculate foreclosures is to look at sheriff's sales--the point at which a homeowner loses their home to the lender or third party real estate organization."

    As an attorney who helps homeowners going through foreclosure, I do appreciate HousingLink's tracking of county sheriff's sales and personally consider this the better metric.  Many people are able to negotiate a way out of their troubles, find assistance from family or figure out another way to avoid foreclosure, even after default.  Some mortgagors may even intentionally default to bring the lender to a negotiation--never intending to actually allow foreclosure.

    I would like to point out that after the county sheriff's sale, many possibilities still exist for a homeowner trying to keep his/her property.  In my opinion, the homeowner "loses their home to the lender" after the redemption period expires--months after the sheriff's sale. The property is still the homeowner's after the sheriff's sale and many homeowner rights may still be enforced through a lawsuit or other legal process.  In my biased opinion as an attorney, homeowners should seek legal counsel at all stages of the foreclosure process--including after the sheriff's sale.
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